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Miami New England : NFL Free Pick 9/18

Miami New England

AFC East battle has two tired teams meeting in Miami New England this Sunday at 1PM.  Great for all of us to assemble and bet here at HRWager.  Ask Dolphin fans if they were to split the first two road games of the season and most would be happy.  They held firm up in Seattle but came up just a little short in a good performance.  Now they get a Brady less New England team that still upset Arizona in the desert.  Which way is the path to profit in this one?

Miami New England : Tired Already?

Yes both teams are facing some hurdles.  Dolphins open up with two straight road games having the first one on the opposite coast.  Patriots were on the road near the same coast and on Monday night.  Question is how much will Miami learn from the film in that game?  First off, they should go with exotic zone packages.  Arizona gave Garoppolo man coverage which is the easiest for an inexperienced signal caller to beat.  Dolphins front four is one of the better units in football.  With a win here, the Dolphins can make this division closer.  However, the oddsmakers opened the Pats as a -5 1/2 favorite that has moved to -7 at times.

Arian Foster is Needed Here

For most of the offense to work well, Arian Foster has to have a big game.  Face it, Miami has a game manager of a quarterback who will not win you games but should not lose them as well.  We do not mind the under 200 yards through the air but it also came with a completion percentage near 55 percent.  This is far too low for a workman offense that dinks and dunks.  Get Ryan to near 65 percent and this offense will hum as well as it can.

Market is +245 ML and + 6 1/2 on the road here.  New England is mostly unbeatable at home.  However, the status of Gronk is up in the air.  Stay tuned to the wires.  If he is declared out then act fast and go Miami ML for the NFL Free Pick of the Day.  Good fortune today and we will see you next time here at HRWager.